Housing constrained population forecasts 2016 to 2031

This forecast was produced using POPGROUP software developed by Bradford Council, the University of Manchester and Andelin Associates

Base year for forecasts is 2016 (ONS mid year estimate)

What is a housing constrained forecast?

These forecasts use the same assumptions of fertility, mortality and household formation as the ONS/DCLG 2014 based projections, but migration is controlled so that the population can be accommodated by the number of planned dwellings.

Housing figures were provided by district and borough councils; actual completions for 2015-16 and planning information for 2016-2031. The Local Planning Authorities in Surrey are at different stages of their Local Plan process so the information used in these forecasts is from different sources but was the best available at May 2017:

Elmbridge: Unpublished housing trajectory.

Epsom and Ewell: SHMA figure (published)

Guildford: SHMA figure (published)

Mole Valley: Adopted Core Strategy annual average

Reigate and Banstead: Unpublished housing trajectory. Annual average figure used post 2023/23 as information not available for specific sites.

Runnymede: Unpublished housing trajectory.

Spelthorne: Published housing trajectory.

Surrey Heath: Unpublished housing trajectory.

Tandridge: SHMA figure (published)

Waverley: Published housing trajectory.

Woking: Adopted Core Strategy annual average